The PFL sees Manila Digger take on Kaya on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Manila Digger are 1st with 63 points from 26 games, while Kaya sit 3rd on 48 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 2.6 for Manila Digger and 2.4 for Kaya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manila Digger 41%, draw 25%, Kaya 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Manila Digger 2–2 Kaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manila Digger41%fair 2.46 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Kaya34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
5.04Expected goals
2.61Manila Digger xG
2.43Kaya xG
70%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
3–26%
2–15%
2–35%
1–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Manila Digger 2.6 – 2.4 Kaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manila Digger to win✓
41%
2.46
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Manila Digger ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manila Digger / FT Manila Digger✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
17.64
–
Form
Manila Digger – last 1
W
25 Feb
vs Garelli United
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kaya – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Taguig
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Tuloy
9–1
W
4.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manila Digger and Kaya.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Manila Digger vs Kaya?
On our numbers Manila Digger have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kaya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Manila Digger vs Kaya?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manila Digger vs Kaya?
Our predicted score is Manila Digger 2–2 Kaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Manila Digger vs Kaya?
Manila Digger vs Kaya (PFL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
