Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Arsenal W to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea W to win ✓44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Chelsea W vs Arsenal W preview and prediction
The match
Chelsea W host Arsenal W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 1 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea W are 5th with 8 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Arsenal W sit 4th on 8 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chelsea W's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Aston Villa W 4–3 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Arsenal W's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Chelsea W 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 March 2026, finished Arsenal W 3–1 Chelsea W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Chelsea W and 1.5 for Arsenal W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea W 44%, draw 19%, Arsenal W 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Arsenal W to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea W44%fair 2.25 · @2.08
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Arsenal W36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
3.24Expected goals
1.71Chelsea W xG
1.52Arsenal W xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 1.7 – 1.5 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal W 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Arsenal W?
Chelsea W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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