Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: Chelsea W to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal W to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Arsenal W vs Chelsea W preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League Women sees Arsenal W take on Chelsea W on Tuesday 24 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal W are 4th with 8 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Chelsea W sit 5th on 8 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arsenal W's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat London City Lionesses 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chelsea W's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Brighton W 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Arsenal W and 1.5 for Chelsea W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal W 43%, draw 22%, Chelsea W 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Chelsea W to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal W43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Chelsea W35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
3.11Expected goals
1.64Arsenal W xG
1.47Chelsea W xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arsenal W 1.6 – 1.5 Chelsea W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✓
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Arsenal W – last 3
WWW
15 Mar
@ London City Lionesses
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Bristol City W
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs OH Leuven W
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelsea W – last 4
WWDW
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester United W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Liverpool W
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal W and Chelsea W.
What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
On our numbers Arsenal W have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelsea W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Our predicted score is Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arsenal W vs Chelsea W?
Arsenal W vs Chelsea W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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