Ludogorets host CSKA Sofia in the Cup on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Huvepharma Arena.
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA Sofia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Ludogorets and 0.9 for CSKA Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ludogorets 59%, draw 20%, CSKA Sofia 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.35
CSKA Sofia21%fair 4.69 · @4.50
2.71Expected goals
1.78Ludogorets xG
0.93CSKA Sofia xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.8 – 0.9 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
Ludogorets – last 6
LDWWWW
15 Apr
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs CSKA 1948
3–0
W
19 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
5–1
W
9 Mar
@ Montana
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Apr
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Montana
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CSKA Sofia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
