Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Arda Kardzhali to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✗88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Arda Kardzhali take on Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Arena Arda.
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ludogorets 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Beroe 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Arda Kardzhali and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Arda Kardzhali to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @2.95
Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.24 · @4.80
2.59Expected goals
1.90Arda Kardzhali xG
0.69Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.9 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✗
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Arda Kardzhali ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
WLWWWD
15 Apr
vs Ludogorets
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Montana
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Septemvri Sofia
4–1
W
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
DDWWWL
13 Apr
@ Beroe
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
