Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultManiema Union to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Maniema Union vs USM Alger preview and prediction
The match
The CAF Confederation Cup sees Maniema Union take on USM Alger on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stade TP Mazembe. Maniema Union are 2nd with 12 points from 6 games, while USM Alger sit 1st on 14 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Maniema Union and 1.0 for USM Alger. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maniema Union 40%, draw 26%, USM Alger 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: USM Alger to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maniema Union 1–1 USM Alger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maniema Union40%fair 2.47 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
USM Alger33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.22Expected goals
1.18Maniema Union xG
1.04USM Alger xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Maniema Union 1.2 – 1.0 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maniema Union to win✓
40%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maniema Union / FT Maniema Union✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
Maniema Union – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Etoile de Kivu
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Nairobi United
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 2
WD
4 Mar
vs JS Saoura
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ El Bayadh
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maniema Union and USM Alger.
What is the prediction for Maniema Union vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Maniema Union vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Maniema Union have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and USM Alger 33%.
How many goals will there be in Maniema Union vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maniema Union vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Maniema Union 1–1 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maniema Union vs USM Alger?
Maniema Union vs USM Alger (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade TP Mazembe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wydad AC