Value bet: Malisheva to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalisheva to win39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.13
Gjilani vs Malisheva preview and prediction
The match
Gjilani host Malisheva in the Superliga on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Gjilani are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Malisheva sit 2nd on 27 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Gjilani and 1.3 for Malisheva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Malisheva to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gjilani 1–1 Malisheva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gjilani37%fair 2.73 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Malisheva39%fair 2.54 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.24Gjilani xG
1.29Malisheva xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gjilani 1.2 – 1.3 Malisheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malisheva to win
39%
2.54
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malisheva / FT Malisheva
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.13
–
Form
Gjilani – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Prishtina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Dukagjini
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Malisheva – last 2
DW
21 Feb
vs Dukagjini
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Ballkani
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gjilani and Malisheva.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gjilani vs Malisheva?
On our numbers Gjilani have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malisheva 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gjilani vs Malisheva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gjilani vs Malisheva?
Our predicted score is Gjilani 1–1 Malisheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gjilani vs Malisheva?
Gjilani vs Malisheva (Superliga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Prishtina e Re1