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Today's tips
Queensland NPL · Australia

Moreton City Excelsior

WLDWL
0–2
FT

Lions

WWWDW

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLions to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions preview and prediction

The match

Moreton City Excelsior host Lions in the Queensland NPL on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).

Form guide

Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Olympic 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Lions's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Melbourne City 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Lions 2–0 Moreton City Excelsior.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.7 for Moreton City Excelsior and 2.0 for Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 1–2 Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Moreton City Excelsior36%fair 2.75 · @2.45
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.85
Lions45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
3.69Expected goals
1.74Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.95Lions xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 1.7 – 2.0 Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLions to win ✓45%2.232.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.431.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%1.991.85
Half-time resultLions ahead at half-time ✗35%2.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.12–

Form

Moreton City Excelsior – last 6

WLDWLW
8 Aug@ Olympic2–1W
2 Aug@ Brisbane Roar II0–2L
18 Julvs Peninsula Power2–2D
11 Julvs Magic United4–3W
4 Jul@ Gold Coast Knights1–2L
28 Jun@ Gold Coast United1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lions – last 6

WWWDWW
11 Augvs Melbourne City2–0W
7 Augvs Brisbane Roar II4–2W
1 Augvs Peninsula Power1–0W
21 Julvs Perth Glory0–0D
18 Jul@ Gold Coast United1–0W
12 Julvs Eastern Suburbs1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Lions v Moreton City Excelsior2–0
Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

FT Peninsula Power2 Brisbane City2 166%1.65X15%4.10219%4.00 1Peninsula Power to win 66%@1.65 ✗
FT Brisbane Roar II1 Gold Coast Knights2 122%3.65X17%4.00261%1.73 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.35 ✓
FT Olympic1 Rochedale Rovers2 145%2.20X19%3.75236%2.60 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.30 ✓
FT WDSC Wolves0 Magic United3 166%1.65X14%4.20219%3.85 1WDSC Wolves to win 66%@1.65 ✗
FT Gold Coast United2 Eastern Suburbs0 139%2.55X21%3.70239%2.30 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lions 45%.

How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 1–2 Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.