Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Moreton City Excelsior travel to face Brisbane Roar II in the Queensland NPL on Sunday 2 August (05:30 WAT).
Form guide
Brisbane Roar II's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Olympic 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Peninsula Power 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Moreton City Excelsior 6–0 Brisbane Roar II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.2 for Brisbane Roar II and 2.7 for Moreton City Excelsior. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brisbane Roar II 13%, draw 18%, Moreton City Excelsior 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moreton City Excelsior to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brisbane Roar II 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brisbane Roar II13%fair 7.98 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.60
Moreton City Excelsior69%fair 1.44 · @1.48
3.92Expected goals
1.17Brisbane Roar II xG
2.75Moreton City Excelsior xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Brisbane Roar II 1.2 – 2.7 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
69%
1.44
1.48
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Moreton City Excelsior to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Brisbane Roar II have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Moreton City Excelsior 69%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar II 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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