Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Moreton City Excelsior take on Peninsula Power on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 07:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Magic United 4–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Peninsula Power's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Peninsula Power 1–4 Moreton City Excelsior.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.9 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.8 for Peninsula Power. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moreton City Excelsior 42%, draw 21%, Peninsula Power 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 1–1 Peninsula Power. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreton City Excelsior42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
Peninsula Power37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
3.75Expected goals
1.94Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.82Peninsula Power xG
72%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 1.9 – 1.8 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peninsula Power 37%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 1–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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