Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Gold Coast United take on Moreton City Excelsior on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Gold Coast United's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Brisbane Roar II 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with WDSC Wolves 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Gold Coast United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.2 for Gold Coast United and 2.6 for Moreton City Excelsior. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gold Coast United 12%, draw 22%, Moreton City Excelsior 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Gold Coast United 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gold Coast United12%fair 8.08 · @6.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @5.00
Moreton City Excelsior65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
3.73Expected goals
1.16Gold Coast United xG
2.57Moreton City Excelsior xG
62%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Gold Coast United 1.2 – 2.6 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
65%
1.53
1.35
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Gold Coast United have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moreton City Excelsior 65%.
How many goals will there be in Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Gold Coast United 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Lions6
WDSC Wolves2