Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Eastern Suburbs host Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL on Friday 5 June, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Eastern Suburbs's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Brisbane Roar II 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Brisbane City 2–5 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Eastern Suburbs arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Moreton City Excelsior 3–0 Eastern Suburbs.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for Eastern Suburbs and 2.0 for Moreton City Excelsior. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Eastern Suburbs 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eastern Suburbs36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.00
Moreton City Excelsior43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
3.85Expected goals
1.83Eastern Suburbs xG
2.02Moreton City Excelsior xG
72%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Eastern Suburbs 1.8 – 2.0 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Eastern Suburbs have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreton City Excelsior 43%.
How many goals will there be in Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Eastern Suburbs 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Gold Coast Knights5
Olympic2