Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Rochedale Rovers host Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL on Tuesday 16 June, with kick-off at 10:15 (WAT).
Form guide
Rochedale Rovers's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Peninsula Power 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Eastern Suburbs 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Moreton City Excelsior 3–1 Rochedale Rovers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for Rochedale Rovers and 2.5 for Moreton City Excelsior. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochedale Rovers15%fair 6.47 · @5.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.80
Moreton City Excelsior63%fair 1.59 · @1.40
3.79Expected goals
1.26Rochedale Rovers xG
2.53Moreton City Excelsior xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rochedale Rovers 1.3 – 2.5 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
What is the prediction for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Rochedale Rovers have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreton City Excelsior 63%.
How many goals will there be in Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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