Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✗83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City preview and prediction
The match
Moreton City Excelsior host Brisbane City in the Queensland NPL on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Olympic 4–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Brisbane City's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Peninsula Power 1–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Brisbane City 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.7 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.4 for Brisbane City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moreton City Excelsior 63%, draw 20%, Brisbane City 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreton City Excelsior63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.50
Brisbane City17%fair 5.84 · @4.80
4.11Expected goals
2.68Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.43Brisbane City xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.7 – 1.4 Brisbane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✗
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brisbane City 17%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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