Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeninsula Power to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction
The match
Moreton City Excelsior travel to face Peninsula Power in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 18 April (08:00 WAT).
Form guide
Peninsula Power's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Brisbane Roar II 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Gold Coast United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Peninsula Power and 1.7 for Moreton City Excelsior. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peninsula Power 40%, draw 21%, Moreton City Excelsior 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Peninsula Power 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peninsula Power40%fair 2.51 · @2.33
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.70
Moreton City Excelsior39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
3.37Expected goals
1.70Peninsula Power xG
1.67Moreton City Excelsior xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Peninsula Power 1.7 – 1.7 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peninsula Power to win✗
40%
2.51
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peninsula Power / FT Peninsula Power✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Form
Peninsula Power – last 6
LWWDDW
12 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar II
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Gold Coast United
4–2
W
13 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Olympic
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Magic United
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Moreton City Excelsior – last 6
WWWWLL
11 Apr
vs Gold Coast United
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Magic United
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Brisbane City
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peninsula Power and Moreton City Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
On our numbers Peninsula Power have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreton City Excelsior 39%.
How many goals will there be in Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Peninsula Power 2–1 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Magic United0
Eastern Suburbs2