Value bet: Gold Coast Knights to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGold Coast Knights to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.02
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Eastern Suburbs take on Gold Coast Knights on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Eastern Suburbs's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Lions 1–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Gold Coast Knights's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Brisbane City 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for Eastern Suburbs and 2.1 for Gold Coast Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gold Coast Knights to win at 2.50 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Eastern Suburbs 1–2 Gold Coast Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eastern Suburbs37%fair 2.74 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Gold Coast Knights42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
3.96Expected goals
1.90Eastern Suburbs xG
2.05Gold Coast Knights xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Eastern Suburbs 1.9 – 2.1 Gold Coast Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gold Coast Knights to win✓
42%
2.36
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Half-time result
Gold Coast Knights ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gold Coast Knights / FT Gold Coast Knights✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.02
–
Form
Eastern Suburbs – last 4
LWWL
14 Mar
vs Lions
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Brisbane City
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Brisbane Roar II
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ Peninsula Power
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Gold Coast Knights – last 4
WWDL
14 Mar
@ Brisbane City
4–2
W
8 Mar
@ Magic United
7–0
W
27 Feb
@ Lions
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Moreton City Excelsior
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eastern Suburbs and Gold Coast Knights.
What is the prediction for Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights?
On our numbers Eastern Suburbs have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gold Coast Knights 42%.
How many goals will there be in Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our predicted score is Eastern Suburbs 1–2 Gold Coast Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights?
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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