Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLions to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceLions or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
Rochedale Rovers vs Lions preview and prediction
The match
Rochedale Rovers host Lions in the Queensland NPL on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.4 for Rochedale Rovers and 2.8 for Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lions to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochedale Rovers16%fair 6.44 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.40
Lions64%fair 1.57 · @1.36
4.25Expected goals
1.44Rochedale Rovers xG
2.81Lions xG
57%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
2–26%
1–16%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Rochedale Rovers 1.4 – 2.8 Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Double chance
Lions or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
Rochedale Rovers – last 2
LL
28 Feb
vs Gold Coast United
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lions – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Olympic
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochedale Rovers and Lions.
What is the prediction for Rochedale Rovers vs Lions?
Our pick is Lions to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Rochedale Rovers vs Lions?
On our numbers Rochedale Rovers have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lions 64%.
How many goals will there be in Rochedale Rovers vs Lions?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochedale Rovers vs Lions?
Our predicted score is Rochedale Rovers 1–2 Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Rochedale Rovers vs Lions?
Rochedale Rovers vs Lions (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
WDSC Wolves3
Moreton City Excelsior0