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Queensland NPL · Australia

Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Moreton City Excelsior to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.40

Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior preview and prediction

The match

Brisbane City host Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT).

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.6 for Brisbane City and 2.9 for Moreton City Excelsior. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Moreton City Excelsior to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brisbane City 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Brisbane City21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.80
Moreton City Excelsior65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
4.50Expected goals
1.62Brisbane City xG
2.88Moreton City Excelsior xG
70%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%

From our goals model: Brisbane City 1.6 – 2.9 Moreton City Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoreton City Excelsior to win ✗65%1.541.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultMoreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.40–

Form

Brisbane City – last 1

W
22 Feb@ Brisbane Roar II3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Moreton City Excelsior – last 1

W
20 Febvs Gold Coast Knights4–1W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brisbane City and Moreton City Excelsior.

Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior head-to-head page →

More Queensland NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our pick is Moreton City Excelsior to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

On our numbers Brisbane City have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Moreton City Excelsior 65%.

How many goals will there be in Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our predicted score is Brisbane City 1–2 Moreton City Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.