Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Lions vs Gold Coast Knights preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Lions take on Gold Coast Knights on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Lions and 1.2 for Gold Coast Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Lions to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lions 2–1 Gold Coast Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lions69%fair 1.44 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.95
Gold Coast Knights10%fair 9.82 · @5.25
4.00Expected goals
2.84Lions xG
1.16Gold Coast Knights xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Lions 2.8 – 1.2 Gold Coast Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✗
69%
1.44
1.48
Double chance
Lions or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.50
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Lions – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Olympic
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gold Coast Knights – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Moreton City Excelsior
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lions and Gold Coast Knights.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our pick is Lions to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
On our numbers Lions have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gold Coast Knights 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Gold Coast Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?
Lions vs Gold Coast Knights (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
