Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: England W to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain W to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
England W vs Spain W preview and prediction
The match
England W host Spain W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Wembley Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for England W and 1.8 for Spain W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: England W 35%, draw 21%, Spain W 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.67.
Value angle: England W to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: England W 1–1 Spain W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
England W35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.35
Spain W44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
3.36Expected goals
1.57England W xG
1.79Spain W xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: England W 1.6 – 1.8 Spain W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain W to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain W / FT Spain W✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
England W – last 2
WW
7 Mar
vs Iceland W
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Ukraine W
6–1
W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spain W – last 1
W
3 Mar
vs Iceland W
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England W and Spain W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win England W vs Spain W?
On our numbers England W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spain W 44%.
How many goals will there be in England W vs Spain W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England W vs Spain W?
Our predicted score is England W 1–1 Spain W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is England W vs Spain W?
England W vs Spain W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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