Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 56% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEngland W to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceEngland W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
England W vs Iceland W preview and prediction
The match
Iceland W travel to City Ground in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Saturday 7 March (13:30 WAT) to face England W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 3.0 for England W and 1.1 for Iceland W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: England W 71%, draw 21%, Iceland W 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 56% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: England W 2–1 Iceland W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
England W71%fair 1.41 · @1.14
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @5.80
Iceland W8%fair 12.33 · @18.00
4.08Expected goals
2.95England W xG
1.13Iceland W xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: England W 3.0 – 1.1 Iceland W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England W to win✓
71%
1.41
1.14
Double chance
England W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.57
Half-time result
England W ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England W / FT England W✓
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Form
England W – last 1
W
3 Mar
@ Ukraine W
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Iceland W – last 1
L
3 Mar
@ Spain W
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England W and Iceland W.
What is the prediction for England W vs Iceland W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win England W vs Iceland W?
On our numbers England W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Iceland W 8%.
How many goals will there be in England W vs Iceland W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England W vs Iceland W?
Our predicted score is England W 2–1 Iceland W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is England W vs Iceland W?
England W vs Iceland W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
