Value bet: Maitland to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaitland to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic preview and prediction
The match
The Northern NSW NPL sees Maitland take on Hamilton Olympic on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Maitland's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Valentine 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hamilton Olympic's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Kahibah 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Maitland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Hamilton Olympic 2–3 Maitland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.3 for Maitland and 1.4 for Hamilton Olympic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maitland 59%, draw 16%, Hamilton Olympic 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Maitland to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Maitland 2–1 Hamilton Olympic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maitland59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @3.90
Hamilton Olympic25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
3.76Expected goals
2.32Maitland xG
1.44Hamilton Olympic xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Maitland 2.3 – 1.4 Hamilton Olympic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic?
On our numbers Maitland have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hamilton Olympic 25%.
How many goals will there be in Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic?
Our predicted score is Maitland 2–1 Hamilton Olympic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic?
Maitland vs Hamilton Olympic (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Northern NSW NPL · Australia
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