Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea preview and prediction
The match
Belmont Swansea travel to face Adamstown Rosebuds in the Northern NSW NPL on Saturday 9 May (07:30 WAT).
Form guide
Adamstown Rosebuds's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Cooks Hill United 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Belmont Swansea's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Lambton Jaffas 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Belmont Swansea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.5 for Adamstown Rosebuds and 2.6 for Belmont Swansea. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Adamstown Rosebuds 1–2 Belmont Swansea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adamstown Rosebuds20%fair 4.93 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Belmont Swansea60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
4.05Expected goals
1.49Adamstown Rosebuds xG
2.56Belmont Swansea xG
68%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Adamstown Rosebuds 1.5 – 2.6 Belmont Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belmont Swansea to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Belmont Swansea ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belmont Swansea / FT Belmont Swansea✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Form
Adamstown Rosebuds – last 6
LLLWLD
2 May
@ Cooks Hill United
1–3
L
29 Apr
vs Lambton Jaffas
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Weston Bears
0–2
L
18 Apr
@ Valentine
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Maitland
2–5
L
1 Apr
@ Hamilton Olympic
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Belmont Swansea – last 6
WWDWWD
2 May
@ Lambton Jaffas
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kahibah
5–3
W
19 Apr
vs Hamilton Olympic
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Edgeworth Eagles
4–3
W
27 Mar
vs Charlestown City Blues
2–0
W
21 Mar
@ Broadmeadow Magic
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adamstown Rosebuds and Belmont Swansea.
What is the prediction for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?
On our numbers Adamstown Rosebuds have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Belmont Swansea 60%.
How many goals will there be in Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?
Our predicted score is Adamstown Rosebuds 1–2 Belmont Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea?
Adamstown Rosebuds vs Belmont Swansea (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Northern NSW NPL · Australia
Weston Bears0
Valentine2
Edgeworth Eagles3
Maitland1