Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Adamstown Rosebuds or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Adamstown Rosebuds to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdamstown Rosebuds to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceAdamstown Rosebuds or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds preview and prediction
The match
The Northern NSW NPL sees Valentine take on Adamstown Rosebuds on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 07:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Valentine's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Kahibah 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Adamstown Rosebuds's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Maitland 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Valentine and 2.2 for Adamstown Rosebuds. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Safer route: Adamstown Rosebuds or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Adamstown Rosebuds to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Adamstown Rosebuds or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valentine 0–2 Adamstown Rosebuds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valentine15%fair 6.85 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.75
Adamstown Rosebuds66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
3.15Expected goals
0.94Valentine xG
2.21Adamstown Rosebuds xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Valentine 0.9 – 2.2 Adamstown Rosebuds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adamstown Rosebuds to win✓
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Adamstown Rosebuds or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Adamstown Rosebuds ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adamstown Rosebuds / FT Adamstown Rosebuds✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.52
–
Form
Valentine – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Apr
@ Kahibah
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ Lambton Jaffas
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Edgeworth Eagles
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Maitland
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Cooks Hill United
0–6
L
27 Feb
@ Broadmeadow Magic
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Adamstown Rosebuds – last 6
LDDDLL
11 Apr
vs Maitland
2–5
L
1 Apr
@ Hamilton Olympic
2–2
D
27 Mar
vs Edgeworth Eagles
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Broadmeadow Magic
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Kahibah
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Charlestown City Blues
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valentine and Adamstown Rosebuds.
What is the prediction for Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds?
Our pick is Adamstown Rosebuds or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds?
On our numbers Valentine have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Adamstown Rosebuds 66%.
How many goals will there be in Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds?
Our predicted score is Valentine 0–2 Adamstown Rosebuds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds?
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebuds (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Northern NSW NPL · Australia
Edgeworth Eagles2
Charlestown City Blues1
Maitland2
Lambton Jaffas1