Value bet: Weston Bears to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWeston Bears to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears preview and prediction
The match
Belmont Swansea host Weston Bears in the Northern NSW NPL on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Belmont Swansea's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Maitland 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Weston Bears's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Charlestown City Blues 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.8 for Belmont Swansea and 2.7 for Weston Bears. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Weston Bears to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Belmont Swansea 1–2 Weston Bears. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belmont Swansea25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @3.80
Weston Bears59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
4.50Expected goals
1.77Belmont Swansea xG
2.73Weston Bears xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%
From our goals model: Belmont Swansea 1.8 – 2.7 Weston Bears expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston Bears to win✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Weston Bears ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weston Bears / FT Weston Bears✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.64
–
Form
Belmont Swansea – last 3
LWW
7 Mar
vs Maitland
3–4
L
1 Mar
vs Cooks Hill United
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Valentine
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Weston Bears – last 3
LWW
7 Mar
vs Charlestown City Blues
2–4
L
28 Feb
@ Maitland
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Hamilton Olympic
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belmont Swansea and Weston Bears.
What is the prediction for Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?
On our numbers Belmont Swansea have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Weston Bears 59%.
How many goals will there be in Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?
Our predicted score is Belmont Swansea 1–2 Weston Bears, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears?
Belmont Swansea vs Weston Bears (Northern NSW NPL) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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