Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tombense 1–0 Uniao Trabalhadores. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tombense49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.85
Uniao Trabalhadores27%fair 3.72 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.22Tombense xG
0.79Uniao Trabalhadores xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tombense 1.2 – 0.8 Uniao Trabalhadores expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tombense to win✗
49%
2.03
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.38 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tombense / FT Tombense✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Tombense – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Uniao Trabalhadores – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Cruzeiro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and Uniao Trabalhadores.
What is the prediction for Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
On our numbers Tombense have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Uniao Trabalhadores 27%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Our predicted score is Tombense 1–0 Uniao Trabalhadores, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores?
Tombense vs Uniao Trabalhadores (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida
