Value bet: Besa Kavajë to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBesa Kavajë to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë preview and prediction
The match
Luftëtari host Besa Kavajë in the 1st Division on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Luftëtari's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Korabi Peshkopi 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Besa Kavajë's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Skenderbeu Korce 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Besa Kavajë arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Luftëtari and 1.4 for Besa Kavajë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Besa Kavajë to win at 2.25 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Luftëtari 1–1 Besa Kavajë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luftëtari32%fair 3.16 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Besa Kavajë47%fair 2.11 · @2.25
2.40Expected goals
1.04Luftëtari xG
1.36Besa Kavajë xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Luftëtari 1.0 – 1.4 Besa Kavajë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Besa Kavajë to win✓
47%
2.11
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Besa Kavajë / FT Besa Kavajë✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Luftëtari – last 4
LDLL
22 Mar
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Apolonia Fier
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Skenderbeu Korce
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Laci
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Besa Kavajë – last 4
LLWL
22 Mar
vs Skenderbeu Korce
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Laci
3–5
L
1 Mar
vs Burreli
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luftëtari and Besa Kavajë.
What is the prediction for Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë?
On our numbers Luftëtari have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Besa Kavajë 47%.
How many goals will there be in Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë?
Our predicted score is Luftëtari 1–1 Besa Kavajë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë?
Luftëtari vs Besa Kavajë (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
