Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Burreli vs Pogradeci preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Burreli take on Pogradeci on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Liri Ballabani Stadium. Burreli are 10th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Pogradeci sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Burreli's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Kastrioti Krujë 2–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Pogradeci's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Iliria Fushë-Krujë 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Pogradeci 2–0 Burreli.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.6 for Burreli and 2.1 for Pogradeci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burreli 9%, draw 21%, Pogradeci 70%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Burreli 0–3 Pogradeci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burreli9%fair 11.31 · @17.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @6.50
Pogradeci70%fair 1.42 · @1.12
2.71Expected goals
0.62Burreli xG
2.08Pogradeci xG
42%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burreli 0.6 – 2.1 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Burreli vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Burreli have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogradeci 70%.
How many goals will there be in Burreli vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Burreli 0–3 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Burreli vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Liri Ballabani Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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