Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë preview and prediction
The match
Iliria Fushë-Krujë travel to face Pogradeci in the 1st Division on Wednesday 18 March (15:00 WAT). Pogradeci are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Iliria Fushë-Krujë sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Pogradeci's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Apolonia Fier 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with FK Kukesi 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Pogradeci and 0.6 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pogradeci 2–0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci70%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @5.50
Iliria Fushë-Krujë9%fair 11.49 · @11.00
2.68Expected goals
2.05Pogradeci xG
0.62Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
41%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.6 Iliria Fushë-Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
70%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
10%
10.06
–
Form
Pogradeci – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Apolonia Fier
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs FK Kukesi
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Besa Kavajë
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Lushnja
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iliria Fushë-Krujë 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luftëtari2
Apolonia Fier2
Lushnja2
Laci5
Skenderbeu Korce0