Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogradeci to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Apolonia Fier take on Pogradeci on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Apolonia Fier and 1.6 for Pogradeci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Apolonia Fier 0–1 Pogradeci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Apolonia Fier17%fair 5.97 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Pogradeci60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
2.27Expected goals
0.69Apolonia Fier xG
1.59Pogradeci xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Apolonia Fier 0.7 – 1.6 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
Apolonia Fier – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apolonia Fier and Pogradeci.
What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Our pick is Pogradeci or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Apolonia Fier have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pogradeci 60%.
How many goals will there be in Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Apolonia Fier 0–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci?
Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lushnja1
Laci5