Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Pogradeci vs Lushnja preview and prediction
The match
Pogradeci host Lushnja in the 1st Division on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Pogradeci and 0.5 for Lushnja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Pogradeci 1–0 Lushnja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci72%fair 1.39 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @4.20
Lushnja11%fair 9.50 · @8.00
2.43Expected goals
1.91Pogradeci xG
0.52Lushnja xG
40%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.9 – 0.5 Lushnja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Pogradeci – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lushnja – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Lushnja.
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lushnja 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Lushnja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Lushnja?
Pogradeci vs Lushnja (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.