Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Beijing Guoan take on Qingdao Youth Island on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Beijing Workers' Stadium. Beijing Guoan are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Qingdao Youth Island sit 8th on 39 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Buriram United 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Beijing Guoan and 0.7 for Qingdao Youth Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Beijing Guoan to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beijing Guoan69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
Qingdao Youth Island11%fair 8.81 · @6.00
2.81Expected goals
2.10Beijing Guoan xG
0.71Qingdao Youth Island xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.1 – 0.7 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Qingdao Youth Island 11%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
