Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
Shandong Luneng travel to Longxing Football Stadium in the Super League on Sunday 11 October (12:35 WAT) to face Chongqing Tongliang Long. Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Shanghai Shenhua 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Shandong Luneng's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.5 for Shandong Luneng. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Shandong Luneng to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Shandong Luneng42%fair 2.38 · @2.62
2.85Expected goals
1.34Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.51Shandong Luneng xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 – 1.5 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
42%
2.38
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
LLDLDL
6 Sep
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Yunnan Yukun
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Henan Jianye
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 6
DLWLWW
5 Sep
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Qingdao Jonoon
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shandong Luneng 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Longxing Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
