Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
Beijing Guoan travel to Qingdao Youth Football Stadium in the Super League on Friday 9 October (12:35 WAT) to face Qingdao Jonoon. Qingdao Jonoon are 16th with 15 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Pohang Steelers 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.4 for Beijing Guoan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Beijing Guoan to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Jonoon12%fair 8.22 · @6.50
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
Beijing Guoan71%fair 1.41 · @1.35
3.25Expected goals
0.87Qingdao Jonoon xG
2.38Beijing Guoan xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 0.9 – 2.4 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
LLLLLL
5 Sep
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–5
L
23 Aug
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Shandong Luneng
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WDWDDW
15 Sep
vs Pohang Steelers
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Rizhao Yuqi
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
18 Aug
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Beijing Guoan 71%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
