Value bet: Hangzhou Greentown to win @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHangzhou Greentown to win ✓57% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun preview and prediction
The match
Yunnan Yukun travel to Huizhou Olympic Stadium in the Super League on Saturday 29 August (12:00 WAT) to face Hangzhou Greentown. Hangzhou Greentown are 9th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Yunnan Yukun sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hangzhou Greentown's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Yunnan Yukun's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Beijing Guoan 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Yunnan Yukun arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.3 for Yunnan Yukun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hangzhou Greentown to win at 1.92 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Yunnan Yukun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hangzhou Greentown57%fair 1.75 · @1.92
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
Yunnan Yukun23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
3.56Expected goals
2.22Hangzhou Greentown xG
1.34Yunnan Yukun xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Hangzhou Greentown 2.2 – 1.3 Yunnan Yukun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hangzhou Greentown to win✓
57%
1.75
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Half-time result
Hangzhou Greentown ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hangzhou Greentown / FT Hangzhou Greentown✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Hangzhou Greentown – last 6
DLLWDW
22 Aug
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Chengdu Better City
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Beijing Guoan
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Qingdao Jonoon
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
DWWLWD
22 Aug
@ Beijing Guoan
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Chengdu Better City
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Tianjin Teda
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
4–3
W
21 Jul
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hangzhou Greentown and Yunnan Yukun.
What is the prediction for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
On our numbers Hangzhou Greentown have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yunnan Yukun 23%.
How many goals will there be in Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our predicted score is Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Yunnan Yukun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun?
Hangzhou Greentown vs Yunnan Yukun (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Huizhou Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
