Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
Chongqing Tongliang Long travel to Guzhenkou University Sports Center in the Super League on Friday 14 August (13:00 WAT) to face Qingdao Youth Island. Qingdao Youth Island are 8th with 39 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Henan Jianye 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Across their last 2 meetings Qingdao Youth Island have won 0, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Qingdao Youth Island and 1.1 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qingdao Youth Island 45%, draw 22%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Youth Island45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Chongqing Tongliang Long33%fair 3.00 · @3.35
2.51Expected goals
1.38Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.13Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.4 – 1.1 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✗
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Youth Island / FT Qingdao Youth Island✗
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
