Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWuhan Three Towns to win ✓42% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.66
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Wuhan Three Towns take on Chongqing Tongliang Long on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Wuhan Sports Centre. Wuhan Three Towns are 15th with 22 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Wuhan Three Towns's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Shandong Luneng 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.3 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wuhan Three Towns 42%, draw 23%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wuhan Three Towns42%fair 2.39 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Chongqing Tongliang Long35%fair 2.84 · @3.05
2.73Expected goals
1.44Wuhan Three Towns xG
1.29Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Wuhan Three Towns 1.4 – 1.3 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wuhan Three Towns to win✓
42%
2.39
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wuhan Three Towns / FT Wuhan Three Towns✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.66
–
Form
Wuhan Three Towns – last 6
DWLLDD
21 Jul
vs Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Dalian Zhixing
2–3
L
27 Jun
@ Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Qingdao Red Lions
0–0
D
31 May
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
WDDLWW
21 Jul
vs Qingdao Youth Island
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Chengdu Better City
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Shenyang Urban
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs Tianjin Teda
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Ningbo Professional
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wuhan Three Towns and Chongqing Tongliang Long.
What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Wuhan Three Towns have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 35%.
How many goals will there be in Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Wuhan Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
