Value bet: Qingdao Youth Island to win @ 2.94 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗40% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Sichuan Jiuniu take on Qingdao Youth Island on Saturday 11 July, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT). Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Qingdao Youth Island sit 8th on 39 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Tianjin Teda 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Qingdao Youth Island 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 1.5 for Qingdao Youth Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Qingdao Youth Island to win at 2.94 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sichuan Jiuniu37%fair 2.69 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Qingdao Youth Island40%fair 2.50 · @2.94
2.87Expected goals
1.40Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.47Qingdao Youth Island xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.4 – 1.5 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✗
40%
2.50
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Youth Island / FT Qingdao Youth Island✗
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qingdao Youth Island 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
