Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 2.96 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Shanghai Shenhua take on Beijing Guoan on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Shanghai Stadium. Shanghai Shenhua are 7th with 40 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shanghai Shenhua's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Henan Jianye 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Tianjin Teda 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Beijing Guoan 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.6 for Beijing Guoan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Beijing Guoan to win at 2.96 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shanghai Shenhua43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.95
Beijing Guoan36%fair 2.76 · @2.96
3.43Expected goals
1.80Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.63Beijing Guoan xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 1.8 – 1.6 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beijing Guoan 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
