Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun preview and prediction
The match
Shandong Luneng host Yunnan Yukun in the Super League on Friday 10 July, with kick-off at 12:35 (WAT) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium. Shandong Luneng are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Yunnan Yukun sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shandong Luneng's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Beijing Guoan 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Yunnan Yukun's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Henan Jianye 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.5 for Shandong Luneng and 1.6 for Yunnan Yukun. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Yunnan Yukun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shandong Luneng60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @4.10
Yunnan Yukun24%fair 4.25 · @3.75
4.10Expected goals
2.55Shandong Luneng xG
1.56Yunnan Yukun xG
69%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.5 – 1.6 Yunnan Yukun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Form
Shandong Luneng – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Jul
@ Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Shenyang Urban
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Guangxi Hengchen
5–0
W
30 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
24 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
3–3
D
20 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
WLWDLD
3 Jul
vs Henan Jianye
2–1
W
26 Jun
@ Qingdao Jonoon
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Suzhou Dongwu
4–2
W
31 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
24 May
vs Qingdao Youth Island
2–3
L
20 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Yunnan Yukun.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Yunnan Yukun 24%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Yunnan Yukun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun (Super League) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
