Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHenan Jianye to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Henan Jianye take on SHANGHAI SIPG on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. Henan Jianye are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Henan Jianye's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Jiangxi Liansheng 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Shanghai Second 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Henan Jianye arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished SHANGHAI SIPG 1–2 Henan Jianye.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Henan Jianye and 1.3 for SHANGHAI SIPG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: SHANGHAI SIPG to win at 3.05 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Henan Jianye 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Henan Jianye40%fair 2.50 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
SHANGHAI SIPG37%fair 2.70 · @3.05
2.67Expected goals
1.37Henan Jianye xG
1.31SHANGHAI SIPG xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.4 – 1.3 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SHANGHAI SIPG 37%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.