Value bet: Qingdao Jonoon to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Jonoon to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Qingdao Jonoon take on Chongqing Tongliang Long on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Qingdao Jonoon are 16th with 15 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Shenyang Urban 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Yunnan Yukun 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Qingdao Jonoon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.2 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Qingdao Jonoon to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Jonoon45%fair 2.22 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Chongqing Tongliang Long33%fair 3.05 · @2.82
2.60Expected goals
1.43Qingdao Jonoon xG
1.17Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 1.4 – 1.2 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Jonoon to win✗
45%
2.22
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Jonoon / FT Qingdao Jonoon✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.40
–
Form
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
LWWWWL
20 May
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
10 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
6 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
2 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
DDDLDW
20 May
vs Yunnan Yukun
0–0
D
9 May
@ Shanghai Shenhua
2–2
D
5 May
vs Henan Jianye
1–1
D
1 May
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Chongqing Tongliang Long.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
