Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye preview and prediction
The match
Henan Jianye travel to Beijing Workers' Stadium in the Super League on Saturday 23 May (12:35 WAT) to face Beijing Guoan. Beijing Guoan are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Beijing Guoan's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Henan Jianye's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tianjin Teda 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Beijing Guoan and 0.9 for Henan Jianye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Henan Jianye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beijing Guoan62%fair 1.61 · @1.71
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.75
Henan Jianye18%fair 5.68 · @4.20
2.84Expected goals
1.93Beijing Guoan xG
0.91Henan Jianye xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 1.9 – 0.9 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
62%
1.61
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DDWDWD
19 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
10 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–0
W
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
WLDWLD
19 May
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
9 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–3
L
5 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Henan Jianye 18%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?
Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
