Value bet: Qingdao Jonoon to win @ 3.05 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Jonoon to win ✗42% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon preview and prediction
The match
Qingdao Jonoon travel to Tiexi Stadium in the Super League on Wednesday 20 May (12:00 WAT) to face Shenyang Urban. Shenyang Urban are 13th with 29 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shenyang Urban's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Yunnan Yukun 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Dalian Zhixing 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Qingdao Jonoon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Shenyang Urban and 1.5 for Qingdao Jonoon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Qingdao Jonoon to win at 3.05 – 42% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shenyang Urban 1–1 Qingdao Jonoon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shenyang Urban35%fair 2.85 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Qingdao Jonoon42%fair 2.38 · @3.05
2.81Expected goals
1.33Shenyang Urban xG
1.48Qingdao Jonoon xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Shenyang Urban 1.3 – 1.5 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Jonoon to win✗
42%
2.38
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Jonoon / FT Qingdao Jonoon✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Shenyang Urban – last 6
LLLLLW
10 May
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–2
L
5 May
vs Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
1 May
@ Henan Jianye
0–4
L
26 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
WWWWLD
10 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
6 May
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
2 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenyang Urban and Qingdao Jonoon.
What is the prediction for Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon?
On our numbers Shenyang Urban have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qingdao Jonoon 42%.
How many goals will there be in Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our predicted score is Shenyang Urban 1–1 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Tiexi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.