Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Shandong Luneng or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✓57% · @1.92
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
Sichuan Jiuniu host Shandong Luneng in the Super League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Baoan Stadium. Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shandong Luneng's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Shanghai Shenhua 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 2.0 for Shandong Luneng. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Safer route: Shandong Luneng or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Shandong Luneng to win at 1.92 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shandong Luneng or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sichuan Jiuniu21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
Shandong Luneng57%fair 1.75 · @1.92
3.09Expected goals
1.12Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.97Shandong Luneng xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.1 – 2.0 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✓
57%
1.75
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Shandong Luneng or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.11
–
Form
Sichuan Jiuniu – last 6
DLWLLL
6 May
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 6
WDLWDL
5 May
vs Shanghai Shenhua
4–1
W
1 May
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
1–4
L
21 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Shandong Luneng or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shandong Luneng 57%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Baoan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
