Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Beijing Guoan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.56 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓66% · @1.56
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing preview and prediction
The match
Dalian Zhixing travel to Beijing Workers' Stadium in the Super League on Wednesday 6 May (12:35 WAT) to face Beijing Guoan. Beijing Guoan are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Dalian Zhixing sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Beijing Guoan's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Yunnan Yukun 3–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dalian Zhixing's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dalian Zhixing arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Beijing Guoan and 0.9 for Dalian Zhixing. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Beijing Guoan to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.56, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 2–0 Dalian Zhixing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beijing Guoan66%fair 1.51 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.10
Dalian Zhixing12%fair 8.24 · @4.85
3.11Expected goals
2.22Beijing Guoan xG
0.88Dalian Zhixing xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.2 – 0.9 Dalian Zhixing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
66%
1.51
1.56
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DWDLLD
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dalian Zhixing – last 6
WLWWWW
1 May
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–3
L
22 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hangzhou Greentown
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Dalian Zhixing.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dalian Zhixing 12%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–0 Dalian Zhixing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
