Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Chengdu Better City to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChengdu Better City to win ✓42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.15
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Beijing Guoan take on Chengdu Better City on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Beijing Workers' Stadium. Beijing Guoan are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Chengdu Better City sit 2nd on 52 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Beijing Guoan's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Shenyang Urban 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chengdu Better City's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Qingdao Youth Island 5–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Chengdu Better City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.7 for Beijing Guoan and 1.9 for Chengdu Better City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Value angle: Chengdu Better City to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 1–1 Chengdu Better City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beijing Guoan36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Chengdu Better City42%fair 2.41 · @2.70
3.63Expected goals
1.74Beijing Guoan xG
1.89Chengdu Better City xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 1.7 – 1.9 Chengdu Better City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chengdu Better City to win✓
42%
2.41
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chengdu Better City / FT Chengdu Better City✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.15
–
Form
Beijing Guoan – last 5
LDLWW
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Chengdu Better City – last 5
WDWWL
3 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
5–1
W
21 Mar
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
5–1
W
17 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–3
L
3.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Better City.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chengdu Better City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 1–1 Chengdu Better City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City?
Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Better City (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
