Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 1.94 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗62% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview and prediction
The match
Dalian Zhixing host SHANGHAI SIPG in the Super League on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium. Dalian Zhixing are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Qingdao Youth Island 4–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Dalian Zhixing and 2.7 for SHANGHAI SIPG. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: SHANGHAI SIPG to win at 1.94 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dalian Zhixing 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dalian Zhixing25%fair 4.05 · @3.15
Draw13%fair 7.48 · @3.85
SHANGHAI SIPG62%fair 1.61 · @1.94
4.28Expected goals
1.62Dalian Zhixing xG
2.65SHANGHAI SIPG xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Dalian Zhixing 1.6 – 2.7 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
62%
1.61
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.61
–
Form
Dalian Zhixing – last 2
LL
13 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–4
L
7 Mar
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 4
WLLD
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dalian Zhixing and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Dalian Zhixing have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 13% and SHANGHAI SIPG 62%.
How many goals will there be in Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Dalian Zhixing 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Dalian Zhixing vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
