Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Sfax Railways to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKerkennah to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Kerkennah take on Sfax Railways on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Kerkennah are 22nd with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Sfax Railways sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Kerkennah and 1.0 for Sfax Railways. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Sfax Railways to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kerkennah 1–1 Sfax Railways. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerkennah39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Sfax Railways36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
2.15Expected goals
1.11Kerkennah xG
1.04Sfax Railways xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kerkennah 1.1 – 1.0 Sfax Railways expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kerkennah to win✗
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kerkennah / FT Kerkennah✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Kerkennah – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ M'saken
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sfax Railways – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Menzel Bourguiba
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerkennah and Sfax Railways.
What is the prediction for Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?
On our numbers Kerkennah have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sfax Railways 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?
Our predicted score is Kerkennah 1–1 Sfax Railways, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?
Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bouselem0
ES Hammam-Sousse3
CS Hammam-Lif3
Menzel Bourguiba1