Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kauno Žalgiris to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.40
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris host Panevėžys in the Super Cup on Monday 16 February, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.8 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 62%, draw 22%, Panevėžys 15%.
Safer route: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kauno Žalgiris to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Panevėžys15%fair 6.50 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.83Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.78Panevėžys xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8 – 0.8 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kauno Žalgiris to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kauno Žalgiris or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Kauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.40
–
Form
Kauno Žalgiris
No recent results on record.
Panevėžys
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kauno Žalgiris and Panevėžys.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panevėžys 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Panevėžys (Super Cup) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Super Cup · Lithuania · Marijampoles futbolo arenos maniezas
